"I'm excited to see how Kentucky fares in this game. I have always been dubious of Doug Gottlieb and others when they claim that Southern Illinois, St. Mary's, and Creighton, among others, are as good as teams from the BCS leagues. They're not. Fact: you guys would struggle to finish .500 in the SEC or any other BCS league. But the argument that truly elite BCS programs never travel to play you on your courts is something I cannot refute. We don't. And it gives you mid-majors something to hold over us in an argument.
That's why Monday is an important litmus test for me. If Creighton is really as good as the guys on ESPN say they are, combined with the advantage of home court, they should win by 20 points. I mean, it should be a blowout. Kentucky is having the worst season in the 30 years I've followed them, and yet I really honestly believe they are still 10-15 points better than even the best of the aptly-named mid-major teams. So I look forward to your team proving my point, one way or the other."
2008-09 Gameday Previews: March 2009 Archives
Around Omaha, the buzz for tonight's game is palpable. Indeed, its been awhile since I've had so many random people ask me my opinion on the Jays game. I'll give you three examples. On Friday, I was at dinner and happened to have a Jays polo on and the waiter, the hostess, and two random patrons asked what I thought would happen on Monday night. On Saturday, I was at Target and had on a Creighton ballcap. The security guy at the door asked me about the game, as did the clerk who rang up my merchandise. And in the days since the matchup was finalized, I've gotten more emails from readers than at any time since the days leading up to the Jays-Salukis game in 2007.
So yeah, people are kinda excited. And it is a big game, make no mistake about it. Kentucky has played one true road game -- ONE -- against a team outside of the power-six conferences in the last decade. And they haven't played a road game in this part of the country, period, in at least 20 years (I got bored with the research when I got that far back and stopped). They may be downtrodden and in the midst of their worst season in two decades, but they're still Kentucky.
They're one of college basketball's glamour programs, second only to UCLA in championships won and second to no one in total victories. They have one of, if not the, most rabid fanbases in college sports. They have fans all over the country; those from nearby states are excited at the chance to see Kentucky play within driving distance and have been snatching up any and all available tickets to the game.
All of that said, it really sticks in my craw to hear people call this "Creighton's Super Bowl." No, it is not. Please, I beg you, stop saying that. It only goes to prove to the Jay Bilas' of the world that teams of Creighton's ilk deserve the second-class citizen treatment they receive. Don't believe me? Here's an email I got from a Kentucky fan on Saturday:
Calling this Creighton's Super Bowl plays right into their hands, don't you see? Is it a big game? Sure it is. Am I marvelously excited for it? Absolutely. But truth be told, I was way more excited when Oklahoma State came here in 1998, or when Iowa came here in 1999, because both teams were ranked at the time of their visits.
It is NOT the biggest game in program history, nor will a victorious outcome somehow "validate" the program. Unfortunately, I feel I'm losing the battle here, and that most fans really do believe this is the biggest game ever. For that, I am sad, and I will shed a single tear into my Diet Pepsi that the NCAA is forcing me to drink at the game because of their Gameday Prohibition laws. Bastards.
Continue reading Gameday: NIT Second Round - Kentucky.
Ah, Kentucky. The winningest program in the history of college basketball with 1,987 victories. Seven National Championships. 43 conference titles. 47 All-Americans. Too many NBA lottery picks to mention.
Its because of the facts in the paragraph above that the prevailing opinion seems to be that the Jays have to play their absolute best game to have a chance to win. That's unequivocally, absolutely, positively the most absurd thing I've heard all week. Yes, Jodie Meeks and Patrick Patterson are wonderful players, NBA lottery picks both. But the players who surround them are very average. The team finished fourth in an extraordinarily weak SEC. The Wildcats are seeded #4 in the NIT for a reason. They're a good team, not a great team. They're beatable. Notice I didn't say the Jays WILL win -- I merely said they CAN win. To think otherwise is simply untrue.
The 'Cats were three-buzzer beater losses to LSU, Louisville and South Carolina away from being a 7 or 8 seed in the "other" tournament. But the last I checked, a 7 or 8 seed is never deemed "unbeatable" in that tournament. If the Jays had made the "other" tournament and drew a 7 or 8 seed with Kentucky's talent but a different name on their jersey, would people be claiming the Jays would have to play their absolute best to even have a chance? I'm guessing no.
Kentucky is still Kentucky, because of all of the reasons outlined in the lead paragraph. But people seem to believe that the talent and success of previous Wildcat teams somehow has any bearing whatsoever on Monday's game. Guess what: it doesn't. None of those players will be suiting up for the game. The jersey will still say KENTUCKY across the front, but the players occupying those jerseys are not the unbeatable juggernaut of years past.
The Jays can win this game, and they don't have to play their absolute best game ever to do so. After the jump, we'll analyze how they can accomplish that.
Continue reading A Game Plan for Beating Kentucky.
The NIT is a funny tournament in that some years, you're clearly not an NCAA-tournament caliber team and you're glad for the extra games (2006, 2008). Some years, you're clearly not an NCAA-tournament caliber team but you wish the season would just end already (2004). And some years, you're a bubble team for the NCAA and didn't make the cut, so you're disappointed to be in the NIT (2009).
In a sense, the NIT can be more about which team cares to be there and less about who the more talented team is. You see it in lower-tier college bowl games all the time, where a clearly inferior team wins by three touchdowns over a big-name, heavily favored opponent that was disappointed at not playing in a bigger game. That's one of the keys to winning bowl game pick 'em sheets in your office: figuring out which teams in the lower-tier games actually care.
Hence our dilemma tonight. Creighton believed they were going to the NCAA Tournament, and now that they're in the NIT; many people -- players included, if the rumors are to be believed -- are not terribly excited to be there, and even less so to see Bowling Green as the opponent.
Look, I'm not hugely excited for the game, either. Part of it is that every damn time Creighton goes to the NIT, something awful happens that leaves me angry for two days.
In 2004, there was the Jake Muhleisen buzzer beater that gave Nebraska a 71-70 win and gave me nightmares for a week. Luckily my therapist, Dr. B. Light, is economically priced and always available. Four or five sessions later, I was over it.
In 2006, we had the Miami Debacle where the refs call the phantom foul on Dane Watts. Mayhem ensued, trash was thrown onto the court (although how anyone could tell the trash from the stands from the trash in striped shirts, I'll never know). Dana Altman chased the refs into the tunnel screaming bloody murder, and rumors of a certain Athletic Director allegedly taking a swing at said referees followed (for the record, those rumors were and are completely false, although it was and remains a fun rumor). Despite many sessions with my therapist, Dr. B. Light, I've yet to fully recover from this one. The Doctor's advice was to black it out as best I could, which I've mostly succeeded at doing until I stupidly brought it up just now. I've just broken a pencil in half on my desk. IDIOT.
In 2008, the Jays followed a buzzer-beater by Cavel Witter with an abomination in Gainesville, losing 82-54 and looking outclassed, outmanned and dominated. Only two sessions with Dr. B. Light were required to get over that one, because the game was over before halftime. However, three sessions with his assistant, the lovely Ms. Minnie Donutson, were prescribed and lustily enjoyed.
In 2009? My guess is Creighton wins tonight and Monday over Kentucky, then plays Notre Dame for the right to go to NYC. They're ahead all game, and in the last minute, Kenton Walker is called for a moving screen giving the Irish new life. On the other end, P'Allen is T'd up for hanging on the rim on the exclamation point dunk that should have sealed the win. Notre Dame wins on free throws. Dr. B. Light works overtime for days.
Just kidding. But seriously, the NIT has usually not ended well for the Jays. After the jump, we'll get ready for Bowling Green.
Continue reading Gameday: NIT First Round - Bowling Green.
Tonight, the Jays begin their quest for an unprecedented seventh MVC Tournament Title in 11 years, and their quarterfinal opponent is the Wichita State Shockers, who will be 22 hours removed from a play-in round win over Missouri State. They're the No. 2 seed, which is very good thing: the Jays are 16-2 all-time as the No. 2 seed, and have won the tournament the last four times they've been seeded there. And then there's this: the No. 2 seed has won at least one game in 10 straight tournaments, reached the final in nine of the previous 10 seasons and won the title in five of the previous seven years.
They stand at 25-6 overall, and probably need at least one win in St. Louis to feel good about their at-large chances for the NCAA Tournament should they not win the championship. Two wins would get them to 27-6 -- and NO TEAM HAS EVER BEEN LEFT OUT WITH 27 WINS. Not that the committee pays attention to such things (they don't), but its worth noting.
Arch Madness should be colloquially known as the Creighton Invitational. Why? The Jays have a 20-4 record in Arch Madness since 1999. They've reached the semifinals 8 of the past 10 years. They've won 12 straight games as the No. 2 seed. Dana Altman is 21-7 all-time in the tournament. Yup, the Jays have dominated it for over a decade. You bet.
Continue reading MVC Quarters Gameday: Wichita State.